Mississippi Valley State
Oklahoma
Win Probability
Moneyline
MVSU
0.0% win prob
Moneyline
OU
100.0% win prob
Oklahoma hosts Mississippi Valley State in a matchup the simulation favors decisively. The model projects a dominant performance from the home side, with Mississippi Valley State struggling to reach 56 points while Oklahoma approaches 96. On games shaped like this one—where the simulation has leaned this heavily toward one team—that side won 97 percent of the time across 513 graded contests. For Mississippi Valley State to upset the projection, it would need to generate far more offensive efficiency than the model expects and force Oklahoma into an uncharacteristically poor shooting night.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Oklahoma 100% to beat Mississippi Valley State (0%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Oklahoma the more likely winner at 100%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Oklahoma a 100% chance of beating Mississippi Valley State, against 0% for Mississippi Valley State. Oklahoma are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Mississippi Valley State project to finish 4.0–29.0 and make the NCAA Tournament in <1% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Oklahoma (0-1 so far) project to finish 17.0–15.0 and make the NCAA Tournament in 39% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi Valley State | 4.0–29.0 | <1% | <1% |
| Oklahoma | 17.0–15.0 | 2% | 39% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Mississippi Valley State and Oklahoma come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.