Long Beach State
Montana State
Win Probability
Montana State hosts Long Beach State in a game the model favors decisively. The Bobcats are projected to control pace and execution, with their offensive balance giving them multiple paths to victory. Long Beach State will need to force turnovers and keep possessions short to stay competitive; on games shaped like this one, the favored side has won 92 percent of the time. For the 49ers to pull the upset, they would need to significantly outshoot their projection and force Montana State into an uncharacteristic shooting slump—a difficult task on the road.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | MTST | EV | LBSU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics ↗ | -650 | -3.1% | +460 | +2.4% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet ↗ | 147.5 | -110 | -0.6% | -110 | -4.0% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 147.5 | -110 | -0.6% | -110 | -4.0% |
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Montana State 81% to beat Long Beach State (19%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Montana State the more likely winner at 81%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Montana State a 81% chance of beating Long Beach State, against 19% for Long Beach State. Montana State are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Long Beach State (0-1 so far) project to finish 13.8–18.2 and make the NCAA Tournament in 6% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Montana State (0-1 so far) project to finish 15.1–13.9 and make the NCAA Tournament in 15% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Long Beach State | 13.8–18.2 | 6% | 6% |
| Montana State | 15.1–13.9 | 17% | 15% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Long Beach State and Montana State come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Montana State have won 0 of their last 1 (L, most recent first).
The teams have met 3 times since 2022: Long Beach State 1, Montana State 2. The last meeting, on Nov 20, 2025, finished Montana State 78, Long Beach State 72.