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NCAAB

Monmouth vs Rhode Island Prediction, Odds & Live Score

Sat, Nov 7, 2026, 4:00 PM ET

← Today's Edges
NCAAB•Sat, Nov 7 • 9:00 PMSilver Edge
MONM

Monmouth

VS
URI

Rhode Island

Win Probability

Moneyline

MONM

+210

34.6% win prob

EV +3.6%

Fanatics

Moneyline

URI

-260

65.4% win prob

EV -4.7%

Fanatics

Analysis

Rhode Island hosts Monmouth in a matchup where the simulation clearly favors the home side. The Rams' depth in perimeter scoring will be tested by Monmouth's interior presence, and containing that mismatch is where the game is likely decided. On games shaped like this one, the favored side has won 68% of the time across 2,158 graded contests. For the Hawks to pull off the upset, they would need to dictate tempo and force Rhode Island into an uncharacteristically poor shooting night; the model projects a low-scoring affair, with a 49% chance the combined total exceeds the market line.

Probability Explorer— drag to explore lines

Point SpreadURI -5.5
25.5-5.25-36
MONM Cover
51.4%
no odds at this line
URI Cover
48.6%
no odds at this line
Total (Over/Under)O/U 144.5
104.5145.25186
Over Cover
46.7%
EV -6.3%
-115theScore Bet ↗
Under Cover
53.3%
EV +2.0%
-105theScore Bet ↗

1st Half

AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.

Leads at the half

34.7%MONM
Tied 4.2%
URI61.1%
1st Half SpreadURI -3
17-3-23
MONM Cover
48.2%
no odds at this line
URI Cover
47.3%
no odds at this line
Push 4.5% — stake returned if it lands exactly on the line
1st Half Total (Over/Under)1H O/U 67.5
486888
Over Cover
50.3%
no odds at this line
Under Cover
49.7%
no odds at this line

Player Props

URI MONM
Sort:

Odds Comparison

Moneyline

BookURIEVMONMEV
Fanatics ↗-260-4.7%+210+3.6%
Polymarket ↗-285-5.8%+168-3.6%

Total (O/U)

BookLineOverEV (O)UnderEV (U)
theScore Bet ↗144.5-115-6.3%-105+2.0%
Fanatics ↗145-110-6.6%-110+2.2%

Where to Bet

silver
MONM ML+3.6% EV

Win probability: 34.6%

Fanatics
+210Bet →
Polymarket
+168Bet →

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AccuScore's simulation makes Rhode Island 65% to beat Monmouth (35%).

Projection updated Nov 6, 5:41 PM ET

Who will win Monmouth vs Rhode Island?

AccuScore's simulation makes Rhode Island the more likely winner at 65%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.

Will Rhode Island beat Monmouth?

AccuScore's simulation gives Rhode Island a 65% chance of beating Monmouth, against 35% for Monmouth. Rhode Island are at home and favoured on these numbers.

Every Monmouth vs Rhode Island meeting →Monmouth predictions & record →Rhode Island predictions & record →

Season outlook

Monmouth (0-1 so far) project to finish 16.0–16.0 and make the NCAA Tournament in 12% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.

Rhode Island (1-0 so far) project to finish 17.3–12.7 and make the NCAA Tournament in 11% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.

TeamProjected recordConference titlePlayoffs
Monmouth16.0–16.013%12%
Rhode Island17.3–12.76%11%

From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →

Form, head-to-head and betting trends

How Monmouth and Rhode Island come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.

Recent form

MonmouthL
  • Nov 2at St. John'sL 63–78

Monmouth have won 0 of their last 1 (L, most recent first).

Rhode IslandW
  • Nov 3vs Holy CrossW 103–59

Rhode Island have won 1 of their last 1 (W, most recent first).