NCAAB
UT Martin
IU Indianapolis
Win Probability
UT Martin visits IU Indianapolis in a coin-flip matchup that hinges on three-point shooting. The simulation barely favours the Jaguars, who will need their outside touch to hold up in what projects as an extraordinarily tight contest. On games shaped like this one, AccuScore's favoured side won 57 percent of the time across 6,691 graded matchups. For the Greyhounds to pull the upset on the road, IU Indianapolis would need to deviate sharply from the simulation's expectation and establish an offensive rhythm the model sees as unlikely.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | IUIN | EV | UTM | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket ↗ | -812 | -22.4% | -316 | -16.6% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet ↗ | 156.5 | -110 | -3.7% | -110 | -0.8% |
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AccuScore's simulation makes UT Martin 51% to beat IU Indianapolis (49%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes UT Martin the more likely winner at 51%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives IU Indianapolis a 49% chance of beating UT Martin, against 51% for UT Martin. IU Indianapolis are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
UT Martin (0-1 so far) project to finish 12.3–13.7 and make the NCAA Tournament in 14% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
IU Indianapolis project to finish 8.6–21.4 and make the NCAA Tournament in 1% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| UT Martin | 12.3–13.7 | 18% | 14% |
| IU Indianapolis | 8.6–21.4 | 1% | 1% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How UT Martin and IU Indianapolis come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.