NCAAB
Northern Iowa
Furman
Win Probability
Northern Iowa travels to face Furman in a matchup where the simulation clearly favors the home side. The model projects a low-scoring affair centered on perimeter shooting: Northern Iowa's offensive efficiency and Furman's ability to keep pace will determine whether this stays tight or opens up. In similar games where the model has leaned this strongly toward the home team, that side has won 68% of the time. For Northern Iowa to pull the upset on the road, the Panthers would need to execute at a level that forces Furman into an uncharacteristically poor shooting night.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | FUR | EV | UNI | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket ↗ | -285 | -5.8% | -110 | -17.1% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet ↗ | 149.5 | -110 | -7.6% | -110 | +3.1% |
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AccuScore's simulation makes Furman 66% to beat Northern Iowa (35%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Furman the more likely winner at 66%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Furman a 66% chance of beating Northern Iowa, against 35% for Northern Iowa. Furman are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Northern Iowa project to finish 16.3–13.7 and make the NCAA Tournament in 20% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Furman (1-0 so far) project to finish 20.7–8.3 and make the NCAA Tournament in 30% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Iowa | 16.3–13.7 | 14% | 20% |
| Furman | 20.7–8.3 | 34% | 30% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Northern Iowa and Furman come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.