NCAAB
North Dakota
Winthrop
Win Probability
When North Dakota visits Winthrop, the simulation decisively favors the home side to control this matchup. The Eagles' length and depth project to wear down the travelling Fighting Hawks, with the model expecting a 10-point margin that hinges on ball security and three-point shooting efficiency. AccuScore's simulation strongly favored one side in 760 comparable games and won 92% of them. For North Dakota to pull the upset, it would need to force turnovers early and establish perimeter shooting before Winthrop's depth can establish itself inside.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | WIN | EV | UND | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -455 | -1.1% | +350 | -5.2% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -465 | -1.3% | +350 | -5.2% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -500 | -1.9% | +370 | -3.2% |
| BetRivers ↗ | -625 | -3.5% | +410 | +0.7% |
| betPARX ↗ | -625 | -3.5% | +410 | +0.7% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 159.5 | -110 | -3.2% | -110 | -1.3% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 159.5 | -110 | -3.2% | -110 | -1.3% |
| Caesars ↗ | 159.5 | -110 | -3.2% | -110 | -1.3% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 159.5 | -110 | -3.2% | -110 | -1.3% |
| BetRivers ↗ | 159.5 | -110 | -3.2% | -113 | -1.9% |
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AccuScore's simulation makes Winthrop 80% to beat North Dakota (20%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Winthrop the more likely winner at 80%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Winthrop a 80% chance of beating North Dakota, against 20% for North Dakota. Winthrop are at home and favoured on these numbers.
North Dakota (0-1 so far) project to finish 10.0–18.0 and make the NCAA Tournament in 6% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Winthrop (0-1 so far) project to finish 16.0–12.0 and make the NCAA Tournament in 20% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| North Dakota | 10.0–18.0 | 7% | 6% |
| Winthrop | 16.0–12.0 | 23% | 20% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How North Dakota and Winthrop come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
The teams have met once since 2025: North Dakota 1, Winthrop 0. The last meeting, on Dec 17, 2025, finished Winthrop 88, North Dakota 90.