NCAAB
Western Illinois
Houston Christian
Win Probability
Houston Christian hosts Western Illinois in a matchup the simulation favors decisively for the home side. The Huskies project to 75.6 points, with that offensive output built around contributions from players like those in their roster, while Western Illinois arrives at 63.5—a gap that hinges on whether the Leathernecks can generate enough perimeter shooting to stay within range. On games shaped like this one, AccuScore's favored side won 92 of its last 100. For Western Illinois to pull the upset, it would need to force Houston Christian into an uncharacteristically cold night from outside, then convert at an elite rate itself.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
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AccuScore's simulation makes Houston Christian 85% to beat Western Illinois (15%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Houston Christian the more likely winner at 85%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Houston Christian a 85% chance of beating Western Illinois, against 15% for Western Illinois. Houston Christian are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Western Illinois and Houston Christian come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Western Illinois have won 0 of their last 1 (L, most recent first).
Western Illinois (0-1 so far) project to finish 5.3–21.7 and make the NCAA Tournament in 1% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Houston Christian project to finish 14.5–15.5 and make the NCAA Tournament in 5% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Western Illinois | 5.3–21.7 | 1% | 1% |
| Houston Christian | 14.5–15.5 | 4% | 5% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →