NCAAB
Utah Valley
Weber State
Win Probability
Utah Valley travels to face Weber State in a matchup where the simulation decisively favors the visiting Wildcats. The model projects a low-scoring affair that hinges on three-point shooting: Utah Valley's backcourt will need to convert at volume to pull away, while Weber State's ability to stay within range depends on forcing enough misses to keep the game close. On games shaped like this one—where the favored side sits between 70 and 80 percent—AccuScore's pick has won 81 percent of 1,316 graded contests. For the Wildcats to upset Utah Valley at home, they would need a defensive stand that limits the visitors to well below their projected total and converts their own chances at a higher rate than the numbers suggest.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | Line | WEB | EV | UVU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | +9.5 | -110 | +5.0% | -110 | -9.5% |
| Fanatics ↗ | +8.5 | -110 | +1.2% | -110 | -5.7% |
| Book | WEB | EV | UVU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | +360 | +6.6% | -480 | -4.4% |
| Fanatics ↗ | +340 | +4.1% | -450 | -3.9% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | 153.5 | -115 | -2.7% | -105 | -1.8% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 154.5 | -110 | -4.0% | -110 | -0.6% |
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AccuScore's simulation makes Utah Valley 75% to beat Weber State (25%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Utah Valley the more likely winner at 75%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Weber State a 25% chance of beating Utah Valley, against 75% for Utah Valley. Weber State are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
How Utah Valley and Weber State come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Utah Valley project to finish 17.1–10.9 and make the NCAA Tournament in 19% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Weber State (0-1 so far) project to finish 10.8–19.2 and make the NCAA Tournament in 4% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Utah Valley | 17.1–10.9 | 23% | 19% |
| Weber State | 10.8–19.2 | 4% | 4% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →