NCAAB
Portland State
Seattle U
Win Probability
Seattle U hosts Portland State in a matchup where the simulation decisively favors the home side. The Redhawks' projected offensive output should prove decisive; Seattle U's backcourt is built to control pace in a game that could stay under the total. Portland State will need to manufacture points in transition to stay within range, but across eight similar games where AccuScore leaned this heavily toward the home team, that side won 88% of the time. How far Portland State's perimeter shooting falls short of Seattle U's offensive efficiency will determine whether the visitors can make this competitive.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | Line | SEA | EV | PRST | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | -10.5 | -120 | -7.1% | -102 | +2.7% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -11 | -110 | -7.0% | -110 | +2.6% |
| Book | SEA | EV | PRST | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | -690 | -3.8% | +480 | +6.0% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -650 | -3.4% | +460 | +4.0% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | 143.5 | -115 | -9.6% | -105 | +5.4% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 144 | -110 | -9.9% | -110 | +5.4% |
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AccuScore's simulation makes Seattle U 81% to beat Portland State (19%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Seattle U the more likely winner at 81%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Seattle U a 81% chance of beating Portland State, against 19% for Portland State. Seattle U are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Portland State and Seattle U come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Portland State project to finish 14.1–13.9 and make the NCAA Tournament in 14% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Seattle U (0-1 so far) project to finish 17.2–11.8 and make the NCAA Tournament in 14% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portland State | 14.1–13.9 | 16% | 14% |
| Seattle U | 17.2–11.8 | 9% | 14% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →