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NCAAB

Sacramento State vs Santa Clara Prediction, Odds & Live Score

Sat, Nov 7, 2026, 10:00 PM ET

← Today's Edges
NCAAB•Sun, Nov 8 • 3:00 AMSilver Edge
SAC

Sacramento State

VS
SCU

Santa Clara

Win Probability

Moneyline

SAC

+1300

4.8% win prob

EV -16.4%

Fanatics

Moneyline

SCU

-2500

95.2% win prob

EV -0.5%

Fanatics

Analysis

Sacramento State travels to Santa Clara, where the simulation decisively favors the home Broncos. AccuScore's model projects Sacramento State will struggle to generate offense, with the Hornets averaging just 72 points across 50,000 simulations. Santa Clara's depth should control the pace; on games shaped like this one, AccuScore's favored side has won 97% of 513 graded matchups. Sacramento State would need to shoot significantly above projection and force Santa Clara into uncharacteristic turnovers to stay competitive, but the gap in the simulation is too wide for either outcome to feel likely.

Probability Explorer— drag to explore lines

Point SpreadSCU -18.5
10.5-20.75-52
SAC Cover
48.3%
no odds at this line
SCU Cover
51.7%
no odds at this line
Total (Over/Under)O/U 164.5
123.5166.25209
Over Cover
47.2%
EV -4.9%
-110Fanatics ↗
Under Cover
52.8%
EV +0.4%
-110Fanatics ↗

1st Half

AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.

Leads at the half

9.3%SAC
Tied 2.2%
SCU88.5%
1st Half SpreadSCU -11.5
9-11-31
SAC Cover
50.3%
no odds at this line
SCU Cover
49.7%
no odds at this line
1st Half Total (Over/Under)1H O/U 78
587898
Over Cover
48.1%
no odds at this line
Under Cover
48.3%
no odds at this line
Push 3.5% — stake returned if it lands exactly on the total

Player Props

SCU SAC
Sort:

Odds Comparison

Spread

BookLineSCUEVSACEV
FanDuel ↗-16.5-120+3.8%-102-9.1%
Fanatics ↗-17.5-105+3.9%-115-8.1%

Moneyline

BookSCUEVSACEV
FanDuel ↗-3500-1.0%+1280-16.9%
Fanatics ↗-2500-0.5%+1300-16.4%

Total (O/U)

BookLineOverEV (O)UnderEV (U)
FanDuel ↗163.5-115-3.7%-105-0.7%
Fanatics ↗164.5-110-4.9%-110+0.4%

Where to Bet

silver
SCU -16.5+3.8% EV

Win probability: 58.7%

FanDuel
-120Bet →

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AccuScore's simulation makes Santa Clara 95% to beat Sacramento State (5%).

Projection updated Nov 6, 9:01 PM ET

Who will win Sacramento State vs Santa Clara?

AccuScore's simulation makes Santa Clara the more likely winner at 95%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.

Will Santa Clara beat Sacramento State?

AccuScore's simulation gives Santa Clara a 95% chance of beating Sacramento State, against 5% for Sacramento State. Santa Clara are at home and favoured on these numbers.

Every Sacramento State vs Santa Clara meeting →Sacramento State predictions & record →Santa Clara predictions & record →

Form, head-to-head and betting trends

How Sacramento State and Santa Clara come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.

Recent form

Santa ClaraWW
  • Nov 4vs MilwaukeeW 95–72
  • Nov 2vs TowsonW 89–70

Santa Clara have won 2 of their last 2 (W-W, most recent first).

Season outlook

Sacramento State project to finish 9.2–19.8 and make the NCAA Tournament in 2% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.

Santa Clara (2-0 so far) project to finish 22.5–8.5 and make the NCAA Tournament in 52% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.

TeamProjected recordConference titlePlayoffs
Sacramento State9.2–19.81%2%
Santa Clara22.5–8.531%52%

From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →