NCAAB
San José State
UC Irvine
Win Probability
UC Irvine hosts San José State in a matchup where the simulation decisively favours the Anteaters. AccuScore's model has leaned this strongly toward the home side in 1,316 past games, with that side winning 81% of them. San José State will need to find points in transition and limit UC Irvine's scoring opportunities to pull off the upset; across eight statistically similar games, the favoured side won four. For the Spartans to come away with a win, they would need a notably higher-scoring game than the simulation projects.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | Line | UCI | EV | SJSU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | -5.5 | -120 | +2.0% | -102 | -7.1% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -6.5 | -105 | +1.7% | -115 | -6.1% |
| Book | UCI | EV | SJSU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | -255 | +0.1% | +205 | -7.3% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -260 | -0.2% | +210 | -6.6% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | 144.5 | -115 | -0.5% | -105 | -4.1% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 145.5 | -110 | -1.9% | -110 | -2.7% |
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AccuScore's simulation makes UC Irvine 72% to beat San José State (28%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes UC Irvine the more likely winner at 72%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives UC Irvine a 72% chance of beating San José State, against 28% for San José State. UC Irvine are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How San José State and UC Irvine come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
San José State (1-0 so far) project to finish 12.6–17.4 and make the NCAA Tournament in 2% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
UC Irvine project to finish 18.8–12.2 and make the NCAA Tournament in 19% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| San José State | 12.6–17.4 | 1% | 2% |
| UC Irvine | 18.8–12.2 | 23% | 19% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →