NCAAB
Southern Indiana
Evansville
Win Probability
Southern Indiana travels to face Evansville in a matchup the simulation decisively favors the hosts. AJ Casey has a 49% chance of exceeding 27 points, rebounds and assists, while Kaden Brown of the Screaming Eagles projects at 47% to surpass 18 combined. The game turns on whether Evansville's depth can maintain its advantage; AccuScore's model leans heavily toward the home side, and in 1,316 prior games shaped this way, the favored team won 81% of the time. Southern Indiana would need to limit the Aces' supporting cast—Makuei Riek and Max Langenfeld each have 47% shots at 20 combined—while getting stronger contributions from role players like Yuto Yamanouchi-Williams, who projects at 50% to reach 12 combined.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | Line | EVAN | EV | USI | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics ↗ | -9.5 | -110 | -10.6% | -110 | +6.0% |
| Book | EVAN | EV | USI | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics ↗ | -425 | -5.5% | +325 | +9.3% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics ↗ | 145 | -110 | -5.8% | -110 | +1.4% |
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AccuScore's simulation makes Evansville 72% to beat Southern Indiana (28%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Evansville the more likely winner at 72%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Evansville a 72% chance of beating Southern Indiana, against 28% for Southern Indiana. Evansville are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Southern Indiana and Evansville come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Southern Indiana have won 0 of their last 1 (L, most recent first).
Southern Indiana (0-1 so far) project to finish 11.9–15.1 and make the NCAA Tournament in 9% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Evansville project to finish 6.3–22.7 and make the NCAA Tournament in <1% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Indiana | 11.9–15.1 | 10% | 9% |
| Evansville | 6.3–22.7 | <1% | <1% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →