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NCAAB

Morgan State vs Niagara Prediction, Odds & Live Score

Sat, Nov 7, 2026, 6:30 PM ET

← Today's Edges
NCAAB•Sat, Nov 7 • 11:30 PM
MORG

Morgan State

VS
NIA

Niagara

Win Probability

Moneyline

MORG

+145

40.3% win prob

EV -0.6%

DraftKings

Moneyline

NIA

-175

59.7% win prob

EV -3.1%

DraftKings

Analysis

Morgan State travels to face Niagara in a matchup where the simulation favors the home side. The game hinges on pace and three-point shooting: if the teams combine to exceed the projected total, Morgan State's path to an upset widens considerably. Across eight statistically similar games, the favored side won 38% of the time, suggesting vulnerability in spots. For Morgan State to pull off the road win, it would need to force Niagara into a sluggish offensive rhythm while capitalizing on any shooting nights of its own.

Probability Explorer— drag to explore lines

Point SpreadNIA -3.5
25.5-2.75-31
MORG Cover
50.3%
no odds at this line
NIA Cover
49.7%
no odds at this line
Total (Over/Under)O/U 150
110.5152.75195
Over Cover
45.9%
EV -4.9%
-110Fanatics ↗
Under Cover
51.5%
EV +0.5%
-110Fanatics ↗
Push 2.6% — stake returned if it lands exactly on the total

1st Half

AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.

Leads at the half

39.8%MORG
Tied 4.6%
NIA55.6%
1st Half SpreadNIA -2
18-2-22
MORG Cover
48.6%
no odds at this line
NIA Cover
46.3%
no odds at this line
Push 5.1% — stake returned if it lands exactly on the line
1st Half Total (Over/Under)1H O/U 70.5
517191
Over Cover
49.3%
no odds at this line
Under Cover
50.7%
no odds at this line

Player Props

NIA MORG
Sort:

Odds Comparison

Moneyline

BookNIAEVMORGEV
DraftKings ↗-175-3.1%+145-0.6%
Fanatics ↗-175-3.1%+145-0.6%
Polymarket ↗-206-5.7%-197-19.6%

Total (O/U)

BookLineOverEV (O)UnderEV (U)
DraftKings ↗150.5-105-5.2%-115+0.6%
theScore Bet ↗150.5-105-5.2%-115+0.6%
Fanatics ↗150-110-4.9%-110+0.5%
Polymarket ↗150.5-285-19.0%-225-10.9%

Where to Bet

DraftKingsBet →FanDuelBet →BetMGMBet →KalshiBet →PolymarketBet →

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AccuScore's simulation makes Niagara 60% to beat Morgan State (40%).

Projection updated Nov 7, 2:50 AM ET

Who will win Morgan State vs Niagara?

AccuScore's simulation makes Niagara the more likely winner at 60%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.

Will Niagara beat Morgan State?

AccuScore's simulation gives Niagara a 60% chance of beating Morgan State, against 40% for Morgan State. Niagara are at home and favoured on these numbers.

Every Morgan State vs Niagara meeting →Morgan State predictions & record →Niagara predictions & record →

Season outlook

Morgan State project to finish 10.6–15.4 and make the NCAA Tournament in 10% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.

Niagara (0-1 so far) project to finish 10.0–20.0 and make the NCAA Tournament in 1% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.

TeamProjected recordConference titlePlayoffs
Morgan State10.6–15.411%10%
Niagara10.0–20.02%1%

From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →

Form, head-to-head and betting trends

How Morgan State and Niagara come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.

Recent form

NiagaraL
  • Nov 2at West VirginiaL 46–91

Niagara have won 0 of their last 1 (L, most recent first).