NCAAB
Southeast Missouri State
2-0
South Carolina
1-0
Win Probability
Southeast Missouri State travels to face South Carolina in a matchup where the simulation decisively favours the home side. The Gamecocks project to win by 17 points, with the model giving SEMO only an 8% path to victory. On games shaped this strongly in AccuScore's favour, the preferred side has won 97% of 546 graded contests. Everything turns on whether Southeast Missouri State can slow South Carolina's pace and keep the game competitive in the second half; for the visitors to pull off the upset, they would need to overcome a significant talent gap and execute nearly flawlessly for 40 minutes.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | SC | EV | SEMO | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics ↗ | -2200 | -1.6% | +1200 | -1.9% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet ↗ | 144.5 | -115 | -3.1% | -105 | -1.4% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 145 | -110 | -3.4% | -110 | -1.0% |
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AccuScore's simulation makes South Carolina 93% to beat Southeast Missouri State (7%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes South Carolina the more likely winner at 93%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives South Carolina a 93% chance of beating Southeast Missouri State, against 7% for Southeast Missouri State. South Carolina are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Southeast Missouri State (1-0 so far) project to finish 11.9–15.1 and make the NCAA Tournament in 9% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
South Carolina (1-0 so far) project to finish 14.8–17.2 and make the NCAA Tournament in 18% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southeast Missouri State | 11.9–15.1 | 11% | 9% |
| South Carolina | 14.8–17.2 | <1% | 18% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Southeast Missouri State and South Carolina come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Southeast Missouri State have won 1 of their last 1 (W, most recent first).