Richmond
2-0
Temple
1-0
Win Probability
Moneyline
RICH
-1120
54.4% win prob
EV -20.4%
Polymarket
Moneyline
TEM
-258
45.6% win prob
EV -18.4%
Polymarket
Richmond travels to Temple in a matchup the simulation treats as a coin-flip. The Spiders' undefeated record meets a Owls squad looking to build on an opening win, with neither side favored in what projects as an extremely tight contest. Richmond's Isaiah Burke has a 58% chance of surpassing 15 points, while Temple's Zack Temoney projects a 61% chance to exceed 10 rebounds—two individual performances that could swing a game this close. The deciding factor is the total: AccuScore rates a 47% chance the combined score clears the market's number, suggesting both defenses may limit scoring opportunities. In similar games shaped this way, the favored side won 57% of the time across 6,696 graded contests. Temple would need to suppress Richmond's scoring while getting out in transition to pull away late.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | TEM | EV | RICH | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket ↗ | -258 | -18.4% | -1120 | -20.4% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet ↗ | 151.5 | -105 | -6.8% | -115 | +2.1% |
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Richmond 54% to beat Temple (46%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Richmond the more likely winner at 54%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Temple a 46% chance of beating Richmond, against 54% for Richmond. Temple are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
Richmond (1-0 so far) project to finish 17.0–14.0 and make the NCAA Tournament in 11% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Temple (1-0 so far) project to finish 14.9–13.1 and make the NCAA Tournament in 7% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Richmond and Temple come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
The teams have met 2 times since 2012: Richmond 1, Temple 1. The last meeting, on Jan 30, 2013, finished Richmond 64, Temple 71.