NCAAB
#21USC
1-0
Wichita State
1-0
Win Probability
Moneyline
USC
67.3% win prob
Moneyline
WICH
32.7% win prob
USC travels to Wichita State in a matchup where the simulation clearly favors the Trojans. The game hinges on three-point shooting: USC's player projects 38% from distance, while Wichita State's counter sits at 31%, a gap that could decide a contest the model expects to be decided by low single digits. In similar spots historically, AccuScore's favored side won 68% of the time across 2,165 graded games. For the Shockers to pull the upset at home, they would need to flip that three-point disparity and control pace in a game where offensive efficiency becomes decisive.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
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AccuScore's simulation makes USC 67% to beat Wichita State (33%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes USC the more likely winner at 67%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Wichita State a 33% chance of beating USC, against 67% for USC. Wichita State are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
USC (1-0 so far) project to finish 15.5–16.5 and make the NCAA Tournament in 27% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Wichita State (1-0 so far) project to finish 19.4–10.6 and make the NCAA Tournament in 28% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| USC | 15.5–16.5 | <1% | 27% |
| Wichita State | 19.4–10.6 | 17% | 28% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How USC and Wichita State come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Wichita State have won 1 of their last 1 (W, most recent first).