Syracuse
2-0
Indiana
2-0
Win Probability
Moneyline
SYR
36.3% win prob
Moneyline
IU
63.7% win prob
Undefeated Syracuse travels to undefeated Indiana in a matchup where the simulation clearly favours the home side. The deciding factor is perimeter shooting: Indiana's offence is projected to lean heavily on three-point volume, while Syracuse's defence will need to contest those looks effectively to stay close. In games where the model has leaned this strongly toward the home team, it has won 68% of the time across 2,165 graded contests. For Syracuse to pull the upset, its perimeter defence would need to force Indiana into a lower-efficiency night than the simulation projects.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Indiana 64% to beat Syracuse (36%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Indiana the more likely winner at 64%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Indiana a 64% chance of beating Syracuse, against 36% for Syracuse. Indiana are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Syracuse (2-0 so far) project to finish 18.9–13.1 and make the NCAA Tournament in 32% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Indiana (2-0 so far) project to finish 18.6–13.4 and make the NCAA Tournament in 49% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Syracuse and Indiana come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
The teams have met 2 times since 2013: Syracuse 2, Indiana 0. The last meeting, on Dec 3, 2013, finished Indiana 52, Syracuse 69.