Brooklyn Nets
3-8
Memphis Grizzlies
7-4
Win Probability
Memphis Grizzlies host a struggling Brooklyn Nets side in a matchup the simulation favours decisively to the home team. Michael Porter has a 47% chance of exceeding 33 combined points, rebounds and assists for Brooklyn, while Julius Randle sits at 46%—both well-positioned to lead the Nets' scoring burden. For Memphis, Ty Jerome and Cameron Boozer each project at 48% to clear 29 in the same category, offering balanced offensive threats the visitors must contain. On games with this win-probability shape across different teams, AccuScore's favoured side won 66% of 5,693 graded contests. Brooklyn would need to neutralise Memphis's depth in the backcourt while generating consistent offence of its own to pull the upset on the road.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | MEM | EV | BRO | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -191 | -3.3% | +159 | +0.1% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -196 | -3.7% | +169 | +2.1% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
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NBA
AccuScore's simulation makes Memphis Grizzlies 61% to beat Brooklyn Nets (39%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Memphis Grizzlies the more likely winner at 61%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Memphis Grizzlies a 61% chance of beating Brooklyn Nets, against 39% for Brooklyn Nets. Memphis Grizzlies are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Brooklyn Nets (3-8 so far) project to finish 29.3–52.7 and make the playoffs in 21% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Memphis Grizzlies (7-4 so far) project to finish 37.6–44.4 and make the playoffs in 33% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brooklyn Nets | 29.3–52.7 | <1% | 21% |
| Memphis Grizzlies | 37.6–44.4 | 3% | 33% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NBA team's projection →
How Brooklyn Nets and Memphis Grizzlies come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Brooklyn Nets have won 2 of their last 5 (W-L-L-W-L, most recent first).
Memphis Grizzlies have won 1 of their last 5 (L-W-L-L-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 32 times since 2010: Brooklyn Nets 13, Memphis Grizzlies 19. The last meeting, on Mar 9, 2026, finished Memphis Grizzlies 115, Brooklyn Nets 126.
Brooklyn Nets are 278-154 as favourite and 242-593 as underdog, and 243-425 on the road (36% of 668 games, 2010–2026).
Memphis Grizzlies are 441-195 as favourite and 229-437 as underdog, and 408-276 at home (60% of 684 games, 2010–2026).
| Record | BRO | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 278-154 | 441-195 |
| As underdog | 242-593 | 229-437 |
| At home | 313-353 | 408-276 |
| On the road | 243-425 | 298-382 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NBA odds have moved →