Chicago Bulls
1-9
Minnesota Timberwolves
9-3
Win Probability
The Chicago Bulls visit Minnesota Timberwolves in a matchup where the simulation decisively favors the home side. Josh Giddey projects with a 49% chance to exceed 29 combined points, rebounds and assists for Chicago, while Rudy Gobert has a 47% chance to surpass 22 for Minnesota. The game turns on whether the Bulls can generate enough offensive creation to keep pace; across eight similar win-probability shapes, the favored side won all eight. For Chicago to pull the upset, Norman Powell would need to exceed 25 combined points, rebounds and assists while the Bulls' role players sustain production throughout.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | MIN | EV | CHI | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -869 | -1.4% | +685 | +0.6% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -851 | -1.3% | +698 | +1.5% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
Get one of today's Gold picks delivered every morning — free.
No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.
NBA
AccuScore's simulation makes Minnesota Timberwolves 87% to beat Chicago Bulls (13%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Minnesota Timberwolves the more likely winner at 87%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Minnesota Timberwolves a 87% chance of beating Chicago Bulls, against 13% for Chicago Bulls. Minnesota Timberwolves are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Chicago Bulls (1-9 so far) project to finish 26.7–55.3 and make the playoffs in 16% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Minnesota Timberwolves (9-3 so far) project to finish 53.8–28.2 and make the playoffs in 86% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Bulls | 26.7–55.3 | 1% | 16% |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | 53.8–28.2 | 33% | 86% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NBA team's projection →
How Chicago Bulls and Minnesota Timberwolves come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Chicago Bulls have won 0 of their last 5 (L-L-L-L-L, most recent first).
Minnesota Timberwolves have won 5 of their last 5 (W-W-W-W-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 30 times since 2010: Chicago Bulls 16, Minnesota Timberwolves 14. The last meeting, on Jan 22, 2026, finished Chicago Bulls 120, Minnesota Timberwolves 115.
Chicago Bulls are 400-202 as favourite and 230-439 as underdog, and 295-370 on the road (44% of 665 games, 2010–2026).
Minnesota Timberwolves are 350-206 as favourite and 209-507 as underdog, and 337-331 at home (50% of 668 games, 2010–2026).
| Record | CHI | MIN |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 400-202 | 350-206 |
| As underdog | 230-439 | 209-507 |
| At home | 364-303 | 337-331 |
| On the road | 295-370 | 256-414 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NBA odds have moved →