NCAAB
Sacred Heart
1-1
New Hampshire
2-0
Win Probability
Sacred Heart travels to New Hampshire looking to even its record against a Wildcats team that has started 2-0. The simulation favours New Hampshire, though the gap is modest. The game likely hinges on three-point shooting: Sacred Heart's Jalen Gaffney projects to exceed 2.5 made threes with 56% probability, while New Hampshire's Nate Santos sits at 54% to clear 1.5. In games where the model has leaned this way toward the home side, it has won 57% of the time. For Sacred Heart to pull the upset, it would need to win the perimeter battle decisively.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | UNH | EV | SHU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket ↗ | -271 | -10.6% | -110 | -9.5% |
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AccuScore's simulation makes New Hampshire 58% to beat Sacred Heart (42%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes New Hampshire the more likely winner at 58%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives New Hampshire a 58% chance of beating Sacred Heart, against 42% for Sacred Heart. New Hampshire are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Sacred Heart (0-1 so far) project to finish 15.0–16.0 and make the NCAA Tournament in 9% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
New Hampshire (2-0 so far) project to finish 13.5–17.5 and make the NCAA Tournament in 5% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sacred Heart | 15.0–16.0 | 11% | 9% |
| New Hampshire | 13.5–17.5 | 6% | 5% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Sacred Heart and New Hampshire come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
New Hampshire have won 2 of their last 2 (W-W, most recent first).
The teams have met once since 2023: Sacred Heart 0, New Hampshire 1. The last meeting, on Nov 29, 2023, finished New Hampshire 90, Sacred Heart 84.