NCAAB
Marist
1-1
UMass Lowell
2-0
Win Probability
Marist travels to UMass Lowell in a matchup where the simulation favors the hosts clearly. The Red Hawks have won 68% of games where the model has leaned this strongly in the past. UMass Lowell's scoring will likely determine the outcome: with the projected total near 146 points and just under half the simulations going over, offensive efficiency becomes the deciding factor. Marist would need a defensive performance well above its recent form to pull the upset on the road.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | UML | EV | MRST | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket ↗ | -206 | -3.7% | +135 | -5.7% |
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AccuScore's simulation makes UMass Lowell 62% to beat Marist (38%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes UMass Lowell the more likely winner at 62%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives UMass Lowell a 62% chance of beating Marist, against 38% for Marist. UMass Lowell are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Marist (1-1 so far) project to finish 15.3–13.7 and make the NCAA Tournament in 12% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
UMass Lowell (1-0 so far) project to finish 17.9–11.1 and make the NCAA Tournament in 24% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marist | 15.3–13.7 | 15% | 12% |
| UMass Lowell | 17.9–11.1 | 29% | 24% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Marist and UMass Lowell come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Marist have won 1 of their last 2 (W-L, most recent first).