Fairfield
0-1
Bryant
1-1
Win Probability
Fairfield travels to face Bryant in a matchup where the simulation slightly favors the visiting Colonials. The game projects as a one-possession affair, and what determines the outcome is shot efficiency—both teams will need to execute in the half-court. On games shaped this way, AccuScore's model has won 57% of the time across 6,705 graded contests. Bryant would need to reverse a modest projection deficit, which would require the Bulldogs to force turnovers and limit second chances on the glass.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | BRY | EV | FAIR | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket ↗ | -120 | -6.5% | -206 | -11.0% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
Get one of today's Gold picks delivered every morning — free.
No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.
NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Fairfield 53% to beat Bryant (48%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Fairfield the more likely winner at 53%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Bryant a 48% chance of beating Fairfield, against 53% for Fairfield. Bryant are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
Fairfield (0-1 so far) project to finish 14.6–15.4 and make the NCAA Tournament in 7% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Bryant (1-1 so far) project to finish 11.1–18.9 and make the NCAA Tournament in 5% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Fairfield and Bryant come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.