NCAAB
Quinnipiac
1-1
Vermont
1-1
Win Probability
Quinnipiac travels to Vermont in a matchup between evenly matched teams, each carrying a 1-1 record into this nonconference clash. The simulation favours the host Catamounts decisively. Vermont's depth will be tested early; AccuScore projects the visiting Bobcats to score in the low-to-mid 60s, a range that demands the home side execute with precision on both ends. In similar spots across recent games, the favoured team won 81% of the time. Quinnipiac would need to force Vermont into an uncharacteristically poor shooting night to pull off the upset on the road.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | UVM | EV | QUIN | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket ↗ | -443 | -5.4% | +161 | -14.4% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
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AccuScore's simulation makes Vermont 73% to beat Quinnipiac (27%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Vermont the more likely winner at 73%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Vermont a 73% chance of beating Quinnipiac, against 27% for Quinnipiac. Vermont are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Quinnipiac (1-1 so far) project to finish 16.1–13.9 and make the NCAA Tournament in 12% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Vermont (1-1 so far) project to finish 18.9–11.1 and make the NCAA Tournament in 34% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Quinnipiac | 16.1–13.9 | 14% | 12% |
| Vermont | 18.9–11.1 | 41% | 34% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Quinnipiac and Vermont come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Quinnipiac have won 1 of their last 2 (W-L, most recent first).
Vermont have won 1 of their last 2 (W-L, most recent first).