NCAAB
Brown
0-2
Lehigh
1-1
Win Probability
Brown travels to face Lehigh in a matchup where the simulation clearly favors the home side. The projection hinges on perimeter shooting: Brown's guards will need to execute at volume, while Lehigh's backcourt must convert their opportunities at a higher rate to pull away. In games where AccuScore has leaned this strongly toward the home team across similar situations, that side won 68% of the time. For Brown to upset on the road, their outside shot would have to fall consistently enough to overcome Lehigh's home-court advantage in a tight contest.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | LEH | EV | BRWN | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket ↗ | -247 | -7.7% | +147 | -0.8% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
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AccuScore's simulation makes Lehigh 60% to beat Brown (40%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Lehigh the more likely winner at 60%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Lehigh a 60% chance of beating Brown, against 40% for Brown. Lehigh are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Brown (0-2 so far) project to finish 10.7–16.3 and make the NCAA Tournament in 4% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Lehigh (1-1 so far) project to finish 14.3–14.7 and make the NCAA Tournament in 9% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Brown and Lehigh come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.