NCAAB
Rider
0-2
Binghamton
1-1
Win Probability
Rider travels to Binghamton looking to break into the win column against a Bearcats team that has found early footing at home. The simulation favours Binghamton decisively, projecting a low-scoring affair where both offences will struggle to generate consistent looks. Rider's scoring will likely depend on whether  can consistently create for teammates, while Binghamton's depth in the backcourt should allow them to control pace and limit transition opportunities. In games where AccuScore's model has leaned this heavily toward the home side, that side won 81% of the time across 1,326 graded contests. For Rider to pull the upset, they would need to force turnovers early and sustain offensive efficiency despite being on the road.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | BING | EV | RID | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket ↗ | -471 | -5.0% | -3582 | -36.8% |
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AccuScore's simulation makes Binghamton 74% to beat Rider (26%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Binghamton the more likely winner at 74%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Binghamton a 74% chance of beating Rider, against 26% for Rider. Binghamton are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Rider (0-2 so far) project to finish 7.2–22.8 and make the NCAA Tournament in 1% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Binghamton (1-1 so far) project to finish 10.9–17.1 and make the NCAA Tournament in 3% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rider | 7.2–22.8 | 1% | 1% |
| Binghamton | 10.9–17.1 | 3% | 3% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Rider and Binghamton come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Rider have won 0 of their last 2 (L-L, most recent first).
Binghamton have won 1 of their last 2 (W-L, most recent first).