Incarnate Word
0-2
UTEP
0-1
Win Probability
Incarnate Word travels to El Paso to face UTEP in a matchup heavily favoring the home side. The simulation leans decisively toward the Miners, who project to pull away in the second half. Incarnate Word's offensive execution will be critical; the Word need scoring depth beyond their primary options to stay close, and any defensive lapses could prove costly against a UTEP team positioned to control tempo. When AccuScore's model has favored a side this strongly across similar games, that side won 92 percent of the time. For the Word to spring an upset, they would need to force turnovers early and execute efficiently on limited possessions.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | Line | UTEP | EV | UIW | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics ↗ | -10.5 | -110 | -4.0% | -110 | -0.6% |
| Book | UTEP | EV | UIW | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics ↗ | -667 | -3.7% | +460 | +4.3% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics ↗ | 142.5 | -110 | -3.1% | -110 | -1.4% |
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes UTEP 81% to beat Incarnate Word (19%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes UTEP the more likely winner at 81%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives UTEP a 81% chance of beating Incarnate Word, against 19% for Incarnate Word. UTEP are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Incarnate Word (0-2 so far) project to finish 7.6–24.4 and make the NCAA Tournament in 1% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
UTEP (0-1 so far) project to finish 10.9–16.1 and make the NCAA Tournament in 2% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Incarnate Word | 7.6–24.4 | 1% | 1% |
| UTEP | 10.9–16.1 | 1% | 2% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Incarnate Word and UTEP come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Incarnate Word have won 0 of their last 2 (L-L, most recent first).