NBA • Sun, Nov 15, 18:00
Philadelphia 76ers host Indiana Pacers in a matchup the simulation favours decisively toward the home side. Tyrese Maxey has a 47% chance of exceeding 37 points, rebounds and assists, while Andrew Nembhard projects at 50% to surpass 28 combined; the Pacers' ability to generate scoring depth will determine whether they can keep pace with Philadelphia's offensive firepower. For Indiana to pull the upset, their role players would need to exceed their individual projections significantly while containing the 76ers' supplementary scorers like Jaylen Brown, who has a 50% chance of topping 35 points, rebounds and assists.
See the model's win probabilities, projected and most-likely score, the positive-EV edge with its price, the record behind it, and the full write-up — for this game and every game.
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AccuScore's simulation says the Philadelphia 76ers' 8-1 start translates to a 75% playoff probability and a 46.6-35.4 projected record, not a guaranteed run.
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NBA
AccuScore's simulation makes Philadelphia 76ers 69% to beat Indiana Pacers (32%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Philadelphia 76ers the more likely winner at 69%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Philadelphia 76ers a 69% chance of beating Indiana Pacers, against 32% for Indiana Pacers. Philadelphia 76ers are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Indiana Pacers (4-8 so far) project to finish 31.8–50.2 and make the playoffs in 29% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Philadelphia 76ers (10-3 so far) project to finish 45.0–37.0 and make the playoffs in 73% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana Pacers | 31.8–50.2 | 4% | 29% |
| Philadelphia 76ers | 45.0–37.0 | 9% | 73% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NBA team's projection →
How Indiana Pacers and Philadelphia 76ers come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Indiana Pacers have won 3 of their last 5 (W-W-L-L-W, most recent first).
Philadelphia 76ers have won 3 of their last 5 (W-L-W-L-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 59 times since 2010: Indiana Pacers 31, Philadelphia 76ers 28. The last meeting, on Oct 28, 2026, finished Philadelphia 76ers 114, Indiana Pacers 109.
Indiana Pacers are 452-226 as favourite and 229-418 as underdog, and 296-400 on the road (43% of 696 games, 2010–2026).
Philadelphia 76ers are 413-190 as favourite and 202-513 as underdog, and 380-310 at home (55% of 690 games, 2010–2026).
| Record | IND | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 452-226 | 413-190 |
| As underdog | 229-418 | 202-513 |
| At home | 413-281 | 380-310 |
| On the road | 296-400 | 278-413 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NBA odds have moved →