San Antonio Spurs
11-2
Utah Jazz
1-12
Win Probability
The San Antonio Spurs travel to face the Utah Jazz in a matchup that heavily favours the visitors. AccuScore's simulation leans decisively toward San Antonio, reflecting the gap between a 11-2 team and a 1-12 opponent. The Spurs' offensive execution will be central; the model projects them to reach the low 120s, with their lead built on Utah's projected scoring falling well short. Utah would need a defensive stand that forces San Antonio into uncharacteristic inefficiency to have a realistic path to victory. On games shaped this way historically, the favoured side won 84 of every 100 times.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | UT | EV | SA | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | +841 | +9.8% | -1087 | -2.3% |
| Polymarket ↗ | +857 | +10.8% | -1064 | -2.2% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
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NBA
AccuScore's simulation makes San Antonio Spurs 87% to beat Utah Jazz (13%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes San Antonio Spurs the more likely winner at 87%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Utah Jazz a 13% chance of beating San Antonio Spurs, against 87% for San Antonio Spurs. Utah Jazz are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
San Antonio Spurs (10-2 so far) project to finish 60.1–21.9 and make the playoffs in 96% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Utah Jazz (1-11 so far) project to finish 24.4–57.6 and make the playoffs in 5% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio Spurs | 60.1–21.9 | 64% | 96% |
| Utah Jazz | 24.4–57.6 | <1% | 5% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NBA team's projection →
How San Antonio Spurs and Utah Jazz come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
San Antonio Spurs have won 5 of their last 5 (W-W-W-W-W, most recent first).
Utah Jazz have won 0 of their last 5 (L-L-L-L-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 62 times since 2010: San Antonio Spurs 40, Utah Jazz 22. The last meeting, on Nov 2, 2026, finished Utah Jazz 97, San Antonio Spurs 119.
San Antonio Spurs are 646-213 as favourite and 162-312 as underdog, and 354-347 on the road (50% of 701 games, 2010–2026).
Utah Jazz are 420-188 as favourite and 195-477 as underdog, and 386-285 at home (58% of 671 games, 2010–2026).
| Record | SA | UT |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 646-213 | 420-188 |
| As underdog | 162-312 | 195-477 |
| At home | 469-225 | 386-285 |
| On the road | 354-347 | 260-414 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NBA odds have moved →