NCAAB
Eastern Illinois
0-2
Notre Dame
2-0
Win Probability
Eastern Illinois travels to Notre Dame in a matchup the simulation favours decisively. Logan Duncomb and Ethan Roberts lead Notre Dame's scoring depth, each with a 47% chance to exceed their thresholds, while the Fighting Irish project balanced contributions across their roster. For Eastern Illinois, JT Elder and Markus Blackwell will need to operate near their ceilings, each sitting at 46%, if the Panthers hope to stay competitive. The game turns on Notre Dame's ability to generate consistent offence across multiple scorers—a formula AccuScore's model has backed with 97% success across 559 similarly dominant projections. Eastern Illinois would need a historic shooting night and defensive intensity to overtake a Notre Dame side built for depth scoring.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | Line | ND | EV | EIU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics ↗ | -28 | -110 | -7.8% | -110 | +3.4% |
| Book | ND | EV | EIU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics ↗ | -50000 | -0.4% | +7000 | -14.5% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics ↗ | 141 | -115 | -0.7% | -105 | -3.7% |
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AccuScore's simulation makes Notre Dame 99% to beat Eastern Illinois (1%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Notre Dame the more likely winner at 99%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Notre Dame a 99% chance of beating Eastern Illinois, against 1% for Eastern Illinois. Notre Dame are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Eastern Illinois (0-2 so far) project to finish 7.7–20.3 and make the NCAA Tournament in 2% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Notre Dame (1-0 so far) project to finish 15.2–13.8 and make the NCAA Tournament in 19% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eastern Illinois | 7.7–20.3 | 2% | 2% |
| Notre Dame | 15.2–13.8 | 1% | 19% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Eastern Illinois and Notre Dame come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Eastern Illinois have won 0 of their last 2 (L-L, most recent first).
Notre Dame have won 2 of their last 2 (W-W, most recent first).