UNC Greensboro
1-1
UIC
2-0
Win Probability
UNC Greensboro travels to face UIC in a game where the simulation decisively favors the home side. The Spartans will need their perimeter threats firing: RJ Greer has a 48% chance of exceeding 21 combined points, rebounds and assists, while Jon Mani projects similarly at 19. UIC counters with balanced scoring depth, led by Mekhi Lowery's 48% chance of surpassing 24 combined, but the game turns on whether UNC Greensboro can generate enough offensive volume to stay close—the model projects a 16-point margin. In 559 similar games where AccuScore's lean was this pronounced, the favored side won 97% of the time. The Spartans would need to force efficient shooting well beyond their projection to pull the upset.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | Line | UIC | EV | UNCG | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics ↗ | -18 | -110 | -8.6% | -110 | +4.3% |
| Book | UIC | EV | UNCG | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics ↗ | -2200 | -2.9% | +1200 | +13.7% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics ↗ | 149.5 | -110 | -4.2% | -110 | -0.4% |
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes UIC 90% to beat UNC Greensboro (10%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes UIC the more likely winner at 90%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives UIC a 90% chance of beating UNC Greensboro, against 10% for UNC Greensboro. UIC are at home and favoured on these numbers.
UNC Greensboro (0-1 so far) project to finish 13.8–15.2 and make the NCAA Tournament in 9% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
UIC (1-0 so far) project to finish 18.7–11.3 and make the NCAA Tournament in 20% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Greensboro | 13.8–15.2 | 9% | 9% |
| UIC | 18.7–11.3 | 16% | 20% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How UNC Greensboro and UIC come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.