NCAAB
North Dakota
1-1
Clemson
2-0
Win Probability
Clemson hosts North Dakota in a matchup that heavily favors the Tigers. AccuScore's simulation decisively leans toward Clemson, backed by a historical record in which similar win-probability shapes have favored the model's side in 8 of 8 comparable games. Dylan Faulkner has a 46% chance of exceeding 35 combined points, rebounds and assists for Clemson, while Samuel Hincapie projects at 46% for the same threshold with North Dakota. The game hinges on Clemson's depth: Cole Certa (47% to top 25 combined) and Ace Buckner (49% to surpass 24 combined) give the home side multiple scoring sources that North Dakota's traveling roster will struggle to match. For the Fighting Hawks to pull the upset, they would need Hincapie and Zach Kraft (48% to exceed 15 combined) to carry a load the simulation does not expect them to sustain.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | Line | CLEM | EV | UND | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars ↗ | -21.5 | -110 | -4.9% | -110 | +0.4% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -21.5 | -110 | -4.9% | -110 | +0.4% |
| Book | CLEM | EV | UND | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics ↗ | -5000 | -1.2% | +2000 | -4.9% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars ↗ | 153.5 | -110 | -5.6% | -110 | +1.1% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 153.5 | -110 | -5.6% | -110 | +1.1% |
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AccuScore's simulation makes Clemson 96% to beat North Dakota (4%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Clemson the more likely winner at 96%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Clemson a 96% chance of beating North Dakota, against 4% for North Dakota. Clemson are at home and favoured on these numbers.
North Dakota (1-1 so far) project to finish 12.0–16.0 and make the NCAA Tournament in 9% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Clemson (2-0 so far) project to finish 17.9–12.1 and make the NCAA Tournament in 43% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| North Dakota | 12.0–16.0 | 11% | 9% |
| Clemson | 17.9–12.1 | 3% | 43% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How North Dakota and Clemson come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
North Dakota have won 1 of their last 2 (W-L, most recent first).
Clemson have won 2 of their last 2 (W-W, most recent first).