NCAAB
North Alabama
2-0
Oklahoma
1-1
Win Probability
Oklahoma hosts North Alabama in a game the simulation favors decisively. Pop Isaacs has a 47% chance of exceeding 27 points, rebounds and assists, while Mike Evbagharu of North Alabama projects at 44% to clear 20 in the same categories—a gap that illustrates how thoroughly Oklahoma's depth outmatches the visitor. The game turns on whether North Alabama can generate reliable scoring beyond Evbagharu; Braylon Patton and Damarien Yates project at 46% and 50% respectively to reach 18 combined points and assists, but that spread of responsibility suggests inconsistency. In similar situations across other fixtures, the favored side won all eight times. For North Alabama to pull the upset, it would need atypical shooting efficiency and North Alabama to force enough Oklahoma turnovers to stay within striking distance.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | Line | OU | EV | UNA | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics ↗ | -27 | -110 | -5.8% | -110 | +1.4% |
| Book | OU | EV | UNA | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics ↗ | -20000 | -0.6% | +5000 | -9.2% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics ↗ | 147.5 | -110 | -1.3% | -110 | -3.2% |
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AccuScore's simulation makes Oklahoma 98% to beat North Alabama (2%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Oklahoma the more likely winner at 98%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Oklahoma a 98% chance of beating North Alabama, against 2% for North Alabama. Oklahoma are at home and favoured on these numbers.
North Alabama (1-0 so far) project to finish 8.9–19.1 and make the NCAA Tournament in 2% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Oklahoma (1-1 so far) project to finish 16.3–15.7 and make the NCAA Tournament in 32% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| North Alabama | 8.9–19.1 | 2% | 2% |
| Oklahoma | 16.3–15.7 | 1% | 32% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How North Alabama and Oklahoma come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Oklahoma have won 1 of their last 2 (W-L, most recent first).