NCAAB
UL Monroe
1-1
Texas A&M
2-0
Win Probability
Texas A&M hosts UL Monroe in a matchup the simulation decisively favors the home side to win. Jalen Shelley has a 48% chance of exceeding 31 combined points, rebounds and assists, while Rylan Griffen projects at 49% to surpass 27 in the same category—both indicators of how thoroughly the Aggies' depth is expected to dominate. For UL Monroe to keep this competitive, Quaran McPherson would need to reach his 24-point projection consistently while the Warhawks limit Texas A&M's role players' production, a difficult task given the breadth of scoring threats arrayed against them. AccuScore's model has favored a side this strongly in 559 prior games, and that side won 97% of them.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | Line | TA&M | EV | ULM | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics ↗ | -35 | -110 | -4.5% | -110 | +0.1% |
| Book | TA&M | EV | ULM | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics ↗ | -100000 | -0.1% | +15000 | -34.9% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics ↗ | 168.5 | -110 | -6.3% | -110 | +1.7% |
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AccuScore's simulation makes Texas A&M 100% to beat UL Monroe (0%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Texas A&M the more likely winner at 100%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Texas A&M a 100% chance of beating UL Monroe, against 0% for UL Monroe. Texas A&M are at home and favoured on these numbers.
UL Monroe (0-1 so far) project to finish 4.8–24.2 and make the NCAA Tournament in <1% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Texas A&M (2-0 so far) project to finish 20.0–12.0 and make the NCAA Tournament in 63% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How UL Monroe and Texas A&M come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.