Rice
1-1
Stanford
2-0
Win Probability
Rice travels to Stanford in a matchup where the simulation decisively favors the home side. Nick Townsend has a 49% chance of exceeding 31 points, rebounds and assists combined for Stanford, while Jacob Dar projects at 49% to surpass 19 such points for Rice—a gap that captures the disparity between these rosters. Stanford's depth across its lineup, with Christian Bliss at 46% and Aidan Cammann at 47% for similar thresholds, compounds Rice's challenge. AccuScore's models of games shaped this way have won 97% of their predictions across 559 graded contests. Rice would need to contain Stanford's secondary scoring while sustaining efficient offense throughout to engineer an upset.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | Line | STAN | EV | RICE | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics ↗ | -20 | -105 | -5.9% | -115 | +1.4% |
| Book | STAN | EV | RICE | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics ↗ | -4000 | -1.6% | +1800 | +3.2% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics ↗ | 145.5 | -110 | -1.3% | -110 | -3.2% |
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Stanford 94% to beat Rice (6%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Stanford the more likely winner at 94%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Stanford a 94% chance of beating Rice, against 6% for Rice. Stanford are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Rice (0-1 so far) project to finish 10.9–19.1 and make the NCAA Tournament in 1% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Stanford (2-0 so far) project to finish 17.8–13.2 and make the NCAA Tournament in 26% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Rice and Stanford come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.