NBA • Sun, Nov 15, 23:00
The New York Knicks travel to Toronto to face the Raptors in a matchup where the simulation leans slightly toward the visitors. For Toronto to pull the upset at home, the Raptors would need to reverse that three-point trend and force New York into an inefficient night from distance.
See the model's win probabilities, projected and most-likely score, the positive-EV edge with its price, the record behind it, and the full write-up — for this game and every game.
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Nov 11
Boston Celtics Playoff Odds: 97.1% as Win Streak Heads to Toronto
AccuScore gives the Boston Celtics a 67.8% win probability at the Toronto Raptors and a 97.1% playoff chance, even as the Celtics' Market Index rank slips to No. 4.
Oct 29
Are the Knicks Really Cooked? 50,000 Simulated Seasons Say Otherwise
AccuScore's season simulations give the New York Knicks a 66.3% playoff probability, a number that pushes back on the 'cooked' overreaction headlines.
New York Knicks (6-5 so far) project to finish 47.6–34.4 and make the playoffs in 82% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Toronto Raptors (5-7 so far) project to finish 44.4–37.6 and make the playoffs in 74% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| New York Knicks | 47.6–34.4 | 13% | 82% |
| Toronto Raptors | 44.4–37.6 | 8% | 74% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NBA team's projection →
NBA
AccuScore's simulation makes New York Knicks 54% to beat Toronto Raptors (46%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes New York Knicks the more likely winner at 54%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Toronto Raptors a 46% chance of beating New York Knicks, against 54% for New York Knicks. Toronto Raptors are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
How New York Knicks and Toronto Raptors come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
New York Knicks have won 3 of their last 5 (L-L-W-W-W, most recent first).
Toronto Raptors have won 1 of their last 5 (L-L-L-W-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 62 times since 2010: New York Knicks 30, Toronto Raptors 32. The last meeting, on Apr 10, 2026, finished Toronto Raptors 95, New York Knicks 112.
New York Knicks are 371-201 as favourite and 227-484 as underdog, and 282-394 on the road (42% of 676 games, 2010–2026).
Toronto Raptors are 481-218 as favourite and 205-414 as underdog, and 409-286 at home (59% of 695 games, 2010–2026).
| Record | NY | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 371-201 | 481-218 |
| As underdog | 227-484 | 205-414 |
| At home | 354-322 | 409-286 |
| On the road | 282-394 | 311-380 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NBA odds have moved →