Cleveland State
1-1
Bowling Green
1-0
Win Probability
Cleveland State travels to face Bowling Green in a matchup where the simulation strongly favours the hosts. The Falcons' depth at guard gives them the advantage in a game that will likely turn on three-point shooting; AccuScore projects their perimeter game to generate significant scoring while Cleveland State's defence will struggle to contain it. In similar win-probability shapes across eight other games, the favoured side won seven times. For Cleveland State to pull off the upset, they would need Cleveland State's guards to disrupt Bowling Green's rhythm and force the Falcons into an unusually cold shooting night from deep.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | Line | BGSU | EV | CLE | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM ↗ | -12.5 | -115 | +0.4% | -105 | -5.0% |
| Caesars ↗ | -12.5 | -110 | +1.5% | -110 | -6.0% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -13 | -105 | +0.9% | -115 | -5.1% |
| Book | BGSU | EV | CLE | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM ↗ | -900 | -0.6% | +600 | -11.5% |
| Caesars ↗ | -900 | -0.6% | +600 | -11.5% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -850 | -0.3% | +575 | -12.9% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM ↗ | 157.5 | -110 | +2.4% | -110 | -6.9% |
| Caesars ↗ | 157.5 | -110 | +2.4% | -110 | -6.9% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 157.5 | -110 | +2.4% | -110 | -6.9% |
Get one of today's Gold picks delivered every morning — free.
No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.
NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Bowling Green 89% to beat Cleveland State (11%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Bowling Green the more likely winner at 89%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Bowling Green a 89% chance of beating Cleveland State, against 11% for Cleveland State. Bowling Green are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Cleveland State (0-1 so far) project to finish 6.3–21.7 and make the NCAA Tournament in 1% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Bowling Green (1-0 so far) project to finish 16.8–12.2 and make the NCAA Tournament in 9% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland State | 6.3–21.7 | <1% | 1% |
| Bowling Green | 16.8–12.2 | 8% | 9% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Cleveland State and Bowling Green come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Cleveland State have won 0 of their last 1 (L, most recent first).
Bowling Green have won 1 of their last 1 (W, most recent first).
The teams have met once since 2018: Cleveland State 1, Bowling Green 0. The last meeting, on Dec 5, 2018, finished Bowling Green 64, Cleveland State 82.