NCAAB
Boston University
2-0
Northwestern
2-0
Win Probability
Boston University travels to Evanston to face Northwestern in an early-season matchup between undefeated teams. The simulation decisively favours the Wildcats at home. Both squads enter at 2-0, but AccuScore's model projects a significant gap in execution: Northwestern is favoured to control tempo and spacing, while Boston University will need to generate efficient scoring to stay within range. The game turns on three-point shooting—if the Terriers can sustain their outside touch against Northwestern's defence, they have a path to an upset; if that shot falls short, the hosts' depth should pull away. In similar games where the model has leaned this heavily toward the home team, the favoured side won 97% of the time.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | Line | NU | EV | BU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | -17.5 | -110 | -5.8% | -110 | +1.3% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -17.5 | -110 | -5.8% | -110 | +1.3% |
| Book | NU | EV | BU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | -3500 | -2.4% | +1280 | +1.7% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -2200 | -1.6% | +1200 | -1.3% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | 147.5 | -110 | -3.2% | -110 | -1.3% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 147.5 | -110 | -3.2% | -110 | -1.3% |
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AccuScore's simulation makes Northwestern 93% to beat Boston University (8%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Northwestern the more likely winner at 93%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Northwestern a 93% chance of beating Boston University, against 8% for Boston University. Northwestern are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Boston University (2-0 so far) project to finish 17.5–12.5 and make the NCAA Tournament in 19% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Northwestern (2-0 so far) project to finish 17.1–14.9 and make the NCAA Tournament in 39% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Boston University | 17.5–12.5 | 24% | 19% |
| Northwestern | 17.1–14.9 | 1% | 39% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Boston University and Northwestern come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Boston University have won 2 of their last 2 (W-W, most recent first).
Northwestern have won 2 of their last 2 (W-W, most recent first).
The teams have met once since 2025: Boston University 0, Northwestern 1. The last meeting, on Nov 7, 2025, finished Boston University 52, Northwestern 76.