NCAAB
South Carolina State
2-0
Chicago State
1-1
Win Probability
South Carolina State travels to Chicago State for a matchup where the simulation leans clearly toward the hosts. In 2,183 games where the model favoured one side this strongly, that side won 68% of the time. The Bulldogs' depth will be tested: Chicago State's Ja'Correspondent KMatter projects to exceed 14.2 points in 62% of outcomes, while South Carolina State's Zedric Mackey sits at a 58% chance to clear 13.1. The game hinges on whether the visiting Aggies can generate consistent scoring—a lower-scoring outcome would favour Chicago State's slight advantage in pace. For South Carolina State to pull the upset, Mackey and company would need to shoot efficiently and force turnovers to tilt the tempo in their favour.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | Line | CHST | EV | SCST | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | -5.5 | -110 | -2.5% | -110 | -2.1% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -5 | -115 | -1.7% | -105 | -2.6% |
| Book | CHST | EV | SCST | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | -230 | -3.4% | +188 | +0.4% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -225 | -3.1% | +185 | -0.1% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | 150.5 | -110 | -8.0% | -110 | +3.5% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 149 | -110 | -4.2% | -110 | -0.2% |
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AccuScore's simulation makes Chicago State 65% to beat South Carolina State (35%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Chicago State the more likely winner at 65%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Chicago State a 65% chance of beating South Carolina State, against 35% for South Carolina State. Chicago State are at home and favoured on these numbers.
South Carolina State (1-0 so far) project to finish 10.7–17.3 and make the NCAA Tournament in 9% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Chicago State (1-1 so far) project to finish 9.7–22.3 and make the NCAA Tournament in 8% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| South Carolina State | 10.7–17.3 | 10% | 9% |
| Chicago State | 9.7–22.3 | 6% | 8% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How South Carolina State and Chicago State come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
South Carolina State have won 1 of their last 1 (W, most recent first).
Chicago State have won 1 of their last 2 (W-L, most recent first).