Stonehill
1-1
Columbia
1-1
Win Probability
Stonehill travels to face Columbia in a matchup where the simulation decisively favors the home side. The gap comes down to pace and efficiency: Columbia's offense is projected to reach 78.8 points while holding Stonehill to 67.7, a margin that hinges on whether the visitors can generate enough possessions to stay close. In 778 games where AccuScore's model favored a side this strongly, that side won 92 percent of the time. For Stonehill to pull off the upset, it would need to either force turnovers that disrupt Columbia's rhythm or get significantly more production from its perimeter game than the simulation expects.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | Line | COLU | EV | STO | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | -10.5 | -110 | -1.0% | -110 | -3.5% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -10.5 | -105 | +0.1% | -115 | -4.5% |
| Book | COLU | EV | STO | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | -650 | -2.6% | +460 | -0.2% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -575 | -1.8% | +420 | -3.7% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | 147.5 | -110 | -5.7% | -110 | +1.2% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 148 | -105 | -5.8% | -115 | +1.3% |
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Columbia 82% to beat Stonehill (18%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Columbia the more likely winner at 82%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Columbia a 82% chance of beating Stonehill, against 18% for Stonehill. Columbia are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Stonehill (0-1 so far) project to finish 9.9–18.1 and make the NCAA Tournament in 12% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Columbia (0-1 so far) project to finish 12.5–14.5 and make the NCAA Tournament in 7% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Stonehill and Columbia come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.