Long Island University
0-3
Towson
0-2
Win Probability
Long Island University travels to Towson in a matchup between winless teams, with the simulation favoring the hosts decisively. Towson's offense will need to execute early; the model projects the teams to combine for fewer than 141 points, and games shaped like this one have gone under 48% of the time. Long Island University's path to an upset runs through perimeter shooting and holding Towson's attack below its projected output. On games where the simulation has leaned this strongly toward the home side, that team won 81% of the time across a comparable sample. For the Sharks to leave with a win, they'll need to convert at a higher rate than the model expects and force Towson into an uncharacteristically inefficient night.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | Line | TOW | EV | LIU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | -5.5 | -114 | +1.1% | -106 | -5.7% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -5 | -110 | +3.6% | -110 | -8.0% |
| Book | TOW | EV | LIU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | -250 | -0.8% | +202 | -5.2% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -225 | +0.8% | +185 | -7.7% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | 141.5 | -115 | -7.6% | -105 | +3.3% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 141.5 | -110 | -6.7% | -110 | +2.1% |
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Towson 70% to beat Long Island University (30%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Towson the more likely winner at 70%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Towson a 70% chance of beating Long Island University, against 30% for Long Island University. Towson are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Long Island University (0-3 so far) project to finish 14.4–16.6 and make the NCAA Tournament in 39% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Towson (0-2 so far) project to finish 15.7–14.3 and make the NCAA Tournament in 11% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Long Island University | 14.4–16.6 | 37% | 39% |
| Towson | 15.7–14.3 | 12% | 11% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Long Island University and Towson come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Long Island University have won 0 of their last 3 (L-L-L, most recent first).
Towson have won 0 of their last 2 (L-L, most recent first).