NCAAB
Florida Gulf Coast
1-1
Georgia
2-0
Win Probability
Georgia hosts Florida Gulf Coast in a matchup where the simulation decisively favors the Bulldogs. Over 50,000 simulations, the model projects a 20-point margin, with Georgia's depth and pace creating separation that the Eagles will struggle to match. The game turns on whether Florida Gulf Coast can generate enough three-point shooting to keep pace; the combined score has a 49% chance of clearing the market's total, suggesting the Bulldogs' pace will be key. In comparable matchups where AccuScore leaned this heavily on the home side, that side won 97% of 559 graded games. For the Eagles to stay competitive, they would need an upset-level performance from their backcourt and sustained perimeter accuracy across 40 minutes.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | Line | UGA | EV | FGCU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | -21.5 | -120 | -8.1% | -102 | +3.8% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -23 | -110 | -11.0% | -110 | +6.6% |
| Book | UGA | EV | FGCU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | -10000 | -1.7% | +2400 | +5.0% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -10000 | -1.7% | +3000 | +18.2% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | 159.5 | -115 | -2.3% | -105 | -2.2% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 160 | -110 | -2.4% | -110 | -2.1% |
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AccuScore's simulation makes Georgia 96% to beat Florida Gulf Coast (4%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Georgia the more likely winner at 96%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Georgia a 96% chance of beating Florida Gulf Coast, against 4% for Florida Gulf Coast. Georgia are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Florida Gulf Coast (0-1 so far) project to finish 13.9–15.1 and make the NCAA Tournament in 18% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Georgia (2-0 so far) project to finish 15.9–15.1 and make the NCAA Tournament in 30% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Florida Gulf Coast | 13.9–15.1 | 16% | 18% |
| Georgia | 15.9–15.1 | 1% | 30% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Florida Gulf Coast and Georgia come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Florida Gulf Coast have won 0 of their last 1 (L, most recent first).