Radford
0-2
#8Tennessee
1-0
Win Probability
Radford travels to Tennessee for a stark mismatch in experience, with the Volunteers hosting an 0-2 Highlanders squad still searching for their first win. The simulation strongly favors the home side, projecting a decisive advantage in a game that hinges on ball security and offensive efficiency. Tennessee's depth in scoring will test Radford's ability to generate consistent offense; the Highlanders must limit turnovers and capitalize on fast-break opportunities to stay competitive. In similar win-probability shapes across eight other games, the favored team won all eight matchups. For Radford to spring the upset, they would need a shooting performance well above projection and Tennessee to fall into an uncharacteristic scoring drought.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | Line | TENN | EV | RAD | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | -28.5 | -110 | -4.3% | -110 | -0.3% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -29.5 | -110 | -7.4% | -110 | +2.9% |
| Book | TENN | EV | RAD | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics ↗ | -50000 | -0.3% | +9000 | -18.2% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | 152.5 | -110 | -4.8% | -110 | +0.2% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 152.5 | -110 | -4.8% | -110 | +0.2% |
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Tennessee 99% to beat Radford (1%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Tennessee the more likely winner at 99%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Tennessee a 99% chance of beating Radford, against 1% for Radford. Tennessee are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Radford (0-2 so far) project to finish 11.7–17.3 and make the NCAA Tournament in 7% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Tennessee (1-0 so far) project to finish 21.5–8.5 and make the NCAA Tournament in 87% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Radford and Tennessee come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.