NCAAB
North Florida
1-1
#14Miami
1-1
Win Probability
North Florida visits Miami in a matchup the simulation favors decisively toward the home side. The Hurricanes' depth should control the pace; Miami's projected scoring looks formidable while North Florida's offensive ceiling appears constrained. On games shaped this strongly in the model's favor, the favored side won 97% of the time across 559 prior matchups. North Florida would need to pressure Miami's perimeter shooting and force turnovers at an unusually high rate to stay within striking distance. The game likely hinges on whether Miami's offense can maintain efficiency against a visiting team with little margin for error.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | Line | MIA | EV | UNF | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | -30.5 | -120 | -8.4% | -102 | +4.1% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -32.5 | -110 | -12.3% | -110 | +7.8% |
| Book | MIA | EV | UNF | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics ↗ | -20000 | -0.3% | +6000 | -16.5% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | 159.5 | -110 | +0.0% | -110 | -4.6% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 159 | -110 | +1.2% | -110 | -5.7% |
Get one of today's Gold picks delivered every morning — free.
No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.
AccuScore's simulation makes Miami 99% to beat North Florida (1%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Miami the more likely winner at 99%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Miami a 99% chance of beating North Florida, against 1% for North Florida. Miami are at home and favoured on these numbers.
North Florida (1-1 so far) project to finish 10.5–18.5 and make the NCAA Tournament in 7% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Miami (1-1 so far) project to finish 18.7–11.3 and make the NCAA Tournament in 48% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| North Florida | 10.5–18.5 | 5% | 7% |
| Miami | 18.7–11.3 | 4% | 48% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How North Florida and Miami come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
North Florida have won 1 of their last 2 (L-W, most recent first).
The teams have met once since 2017: North Florida 0, Miami 1. The last meeting, on Nov 25, 2017, finished North Florida 65, Miami 86.