NCAAB
Kansas City
1-1
Jacksonville
1-1
Win Probability
Jacksonville hosts Kansas City in a matchup where the simulation clearly favours the home side. The Dolphins' offensive weapons will be crucial: if Jacksonville's top scorer reaches 68% of their projection and the team's leading three-point threat hits at 55%, the home side should pull away. Kansas City's path to an upset runs through slowing the pace and keeping the game tight, but the visitor would need to overcome Jacksonville's scoring depth. In games where AccuScore has favoured one side this strongly across similar circumstances, that side won 68% of the time. For Kansas City to steal this one on the road, they would need to force a slugfest and hope Jacksonville's role players fall short of their marks.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | Line | JAX | EV | KC | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | -4.5 | -120 | +2.2% | -102 | -7.3% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -4.5 | -110 | +4.3% | -110 | -8.9% |
| Book | JAX | EV | KC | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | -210 | +1.0% | +172 | -8.0% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -205 | +1.4% | +170 | -8.3% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | 146.5 | -115 | -3.1% | -105 | -1.4% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 147 | -110 | -3.4% | -110 | -1.1% |
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AccuScore's simulation makes Jacksonville 69% to beat Kansas City (31%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Jacksonville the more likely winner at 69%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Jacksonville a 69% chance of beating Kansas City, against 31% for Kansas City. Jacksonville are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Kansas City (1-1 so far) project to finish 10.4–17.6 and make the NCAA Tournament in 3% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Jacksonville (0-1 so far) project to finish 11.0–16.0 and make the NCAA Tournament in 16% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City | 10.4–17.6 | 3% | 3% |
| Jacksonville | 11.0–16.0 | 14% | 16% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Kansas City and Jacksonville come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Kansas City have won 1 of their last 2 (W-L, most recent first).