Jackson State
1-1
Mississippi State
2-0
Win Probability
Jackson State travels to face Mississippi State in a matchup where the simulation decisively favours the home side. The Bulldogs project to 89.5 points behind contributions across their roster, while the Tigers are expected to manage 66.9. Mississippi State's depth should prove decisive in a game that turns on whether Jackson State can generate enough scoring to stay competitive; in 559 past games where AccuScore leaned this heavily toward one side, that side won 97% of the time. For the Tigers to pull the upset, they would need to significantly outpace their projection and force Mississippi State into an uncharacteristic offensive stall.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | Line | MSST | EV | JKST | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | -21.5 | -120 | -1.6% | -102 | -3.3% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -22.5 | -110 | -3.2% | -110 | -1.3% |
| Book | MSST | EV | JKST | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | -10000 | -0.8% | +2400 | -17.5% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -7000 | -0.6% | +2500 | -16.2% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | 155.5 | -114 | -1.8% | -106 | -2.8% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 156.5 | -105 | -2.3% | -115 | -2.2% |
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Mississippi State 97% to beat Jackson State (3%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Mississippi State the more likely winner at 97%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Mississippi State a 97% chance of beating Jackson State, against 3% for Jackson State. Mississippi State are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Jackson State (1-1 so far) project to finish 11.8–21.2 and make the NCAA Tournament in 8% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Mississippi State (2-0 so far) project to finish 15.3–15.7 and make the NCAA Tournament in 28% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson State | 11.8–21.2 | 9% | 8% |
| Mississippi State | 15.3–15.7 | 1% | 28% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Jackson State and Mississippi State come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Jackson State have won 1 of their last 2 (W-L, most recent first).
Mississippi State have won 2 of their last 2 (W-W, most recent first).
The teams have met once since 2022: Jackson State 1, Mississippi State 0. The last meeting, on Dec 14, 2022, finished Jackson State 69, Mississippi State 59.