NCAAB
Mississippi Valley State
0-1
Washington
1-0
Win Probability
Mississippi Valley State travels to Washington in a matchup where the simulation favors the home side decisively. The Huskies are projected to control this game throughout, with their depth and offensive firepower creating separation early. On games shaped like this one—where the model has leaned this heavily toward one side—the favored team won 97% of 559 prior matchups. For Mississippi Valley State to upset that history, it would need to generate pace and force Washington into unusual offensive inefficiency, a tall order on the road. Everything hinges on whether the Pioneers can contain the Huskies' scoring volume in the opening minutes.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | Line | WASH | EV | MVSU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | -33.5 | -110 | -1.6% | -110 | -2.9% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -33 | -110 | -0.1% | -110 | -4.3% |
| Book | WASH | EV | MVSU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics ↗ | -50000 | +0.0% | +8000 | -46.0% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | 151.5 | -110 | -6.5% | -110 | +1.9% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 151.5 | -110 | -6.5% | -110 | +1.9% |
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AccuScore's simulation makes Washington 100% to beat Mississippi Valley State (0%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Washington the more likely winner at 100%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Washington a 100% chance of beating Mississippi Valley State, against 0% for Mississippi Valley State. Washington are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Mississippi Valley State (0-1 so far) project to finish 4.3–28.7 and make the NCAA Tournament in <1% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Washington (1-0 so far) project to finish 14.0–15.0 and make the NCAA Tournament in 30% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi Valley State | 4.3–28.7 | <1% | <1% |
| Washington | 14.0–15.0 | 1% | 30% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Mississippi Valley State and Washington come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Mississippi Valley State have won 0 of their last 1 (L, most recent first).