#23Kentucky
2-0
#17Kansas
2-0
Win Probability
Unbeaten Kentucky travels to face unbeaten Kansas in a matchup where the simulation clearly favors the home side. The Wildcats project to 74.8 points, with Kentucky's offense needing to find answers; Kansas counters with a projected 79.9, led by contributions across its roster. Depth in scoring will likely decide this one—Kansas has shown the ability to generate points in multiple ways, while Kentucky's visitors must match that versatility on the road. In games shaped like this one, AccuScore's favored side won 68 percent of the time across 2,185 graded matchups. For Kentucky to pull the upset, it would need to tighten its defense and force Kansas into an uncharacteristically poor shooting night.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | KU | EV | UK | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -278 | -4.5% | +225 | +3.8% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -741 | -12.0% | -141 | -21.7% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 155.5 | -110 | -5.9% | -110 | +1.4% |
| Caesars ↗ | 155.5 | -110 | -5.9% | -110 | +1.4% |
| Polymarket ↗ | 155.5 | -215 | -16.2% | -166 | -6.9% |
Get one of today's Gold picks delivered every morning — free.
No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.
NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Kansas 67% to beat Kentucky (33%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Kansas the more likely winner at 67%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Kansas a 67% chance of beating Kentucky, against 33% for Kentucky. Kansas are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Kentucky (2-0 so far) project to finish 19.7–12.3 and make the NCAA Tournament in 66% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Kansas (2-0 so far) project to finish 21.5–8.5 and make the NCAA Tournament in 89% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Kentucky and Kansas come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
The teams have met 5 times since 2011: Kentucky 4, Kansas 1. The last meeting, on Nov 13, 2023, finished Kansas 84, Kentucky 89.