NCAAB
Harvard
2-0
Northeastern
0-2
Win Probability
Harvard travels to Northeastern in a matchup where the simulation leans toward the Crimson. The game hinges on three-point shooting: Harvard's success from deep will be critical to their chances, while Northeastern will need to limit that volume to stay in contention. In games where the model has favored one side this decisively, that side won 57% of the time across 6,714 past matchups. For Northeastern to pull the upset at home, they would need to force Harvard into an inefficient offensive night and capitalize on their own shooting opportunities.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | NE | EV | HARV | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | +138 | +0.5% | -166 | -3.9% |
| Fanatics ↗ | +135 | -0.2% | -165 | -3.7% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -115 | -10.4% | -258 | -10.0% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | 146.5 | -115 | -5.2% | -105 | +0.9% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 146.5 | -115 | -5.2% | -105 | +0.9% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 146.5 | -115 | -5.2% | -105 | +0.9% |
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 42.4%
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AccuScore's simulation makes Harvard 58% to beat Northeastern (42%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Harvard the more likely winner at 58%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Northeastern a 42% chance of beating Harvard, against 58% for Harvard. Northeastern are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
How Harvard and Northeastern come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Northeastern have won 0 of their last 2 (L-L, most recent first).
Harvard project to finish 12.6–13.4 and make the NCAA Tournament in 11% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Northeastern (0-2 so far) project to finish 11.1–20.9 and make the NCAA Tournament in 3% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Harvard | 12.6–13.4 | 13% | 11% |
| Northeastern | 11.1–20.9 | 3% | 3% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →