NCAAB
Elon
2-0
George Washington
2-0
Win Probability
Elon travels to face George Washington in a matchup between undefeated teams. The simulation favours the Colonials decisively, projecting a game decided in the paint and perimeter execution. George Washington's depth should control pace; Elon will need efficient shooting and ball movement to stay close. In games where AccuScore has leaned this strongly toward the home side, that team won 92 percent of the time across 781 graded contests. An upset would require Elon to shoot above 45 percent from three while forcing turnovers at an unsustainable rate.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | GW | EV | ELON | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | -1250 | -2.0% | +740 | -3.4% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -1200 | -1.8% | +750 | -2.8% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -3582 | -4.3% | +475 | -18.1% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | 149.5 | -110 | -3.4% | -110 | -1.1% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 148.5 | -110 | -1.0% | -110 | -3.5% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 149 | -110 | -2.2% | -110 | -2.3% |
| Polymarket ↗ | 149.5 | -471 | -20.4% | -316 | -16.3% |
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AccuScore's simulation makes George Washington 89% to beat Elon (11%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes George Washington the more likely winner at 89%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives George Washington a 89% chance of beating Elon, against 11% for Elon. George Washington are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Elon (2-0 so far) project to finish 14.2–15.8 and make the NCAA Tournament in 5% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
George Washington (2-0 so far) project to finish 20.5–10.5 and make the NCAA Tournament in 26% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elon | 14.2–15.8 | 6% | 5% |
| George Washington | 20.5–10.5 | 14% | 26% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Elon and George Washington come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Elon have won 2 of their last 2 (W-W, most recent first).
George Washington have won 2 of their last 2 (W-W, most recent first).