NCAAB
Iona
2-1
Fordham
1-1
Win Probability
Iona travels to face Fordham in a matchup heavily favoring the home side. AccuScore's simulation leans decisively toward Fordham, projecting a low-scoring affair where perimeter shooting becomes critical—Fordham's shooters have a 64% chance of connecting on three-pointers, while Iona's defensive intensity will determine whether that holds. On games where the model has favored one side this strongly across similar circumstances, that side won 92% of the time. For Iona to pull the upset, their ball movement and pace would need to disrupt Fordham's halfcourt setup, but the simulation gives little room for the visitors to work with in the Bronx.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | FOR | EV | IONA | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | -880 | -3.5% | +580 | +5.8% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -700 | -2.2% | +500 | -0.8% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -1120 | -4.5% | +102 | -33.4% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | 143.5 | -110 | -4.3% | -110 | -0.3% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 142.5 | -110 | -1.9% | -110 | -2.7% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 143.5 | -110 | -4.3% | -110 | -0.3% |
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AccuScore's simulation makes Fordham 84% to beat Iona (16%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Fordham the more likely winner at 84%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Fordham a 84% chance of beating Iona, against 16% for Iona. Fordham are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Iona (2-1 so far) project to finish 17.3–14.7 and make the NCAA Tournament in 10% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Fordham (1-1 so far) project to finish 15.2–14.8 and make the NCAA Tournament in 4% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Iona and Fordham come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
The teams have met once since 2025: Iona 1, Fordham 0. The last meeting, on Nov 13, 2025, finished Fordham 71, Iona 76.